Incog_Negro
06-27-2007, 08:51 PM
Jeter's First Dark October?
Authored by Christopher Reina - 26th June, 2007 - 8:19 pm
http://www.realgmbaseball.com/images/mlb/4.2/wiretap/photos/Jeter_Derek_nyy_070604.jpg
is six games, the biggest difference in the entire MLB. Cleveland’s Pythagorean record is 43-32, while Oakland’s is 41-34, Minnesota’s is 39-35 Toronto’s is 39-36 and Seattle’s is 37-36.
Even more promising for the Yankees, yet simultaneously concerning, is the fact they are 4-12 in 1-run games.
With the Yankees' playoff streak in jeopardy, the questions must be asked if the Yankees are this much worse than they were over the past 12 seasons or merely victims of a first half filled with injuries and bad luck?
I look at their roster on paper and suggest that it is the latter.
As most people know, the second half is where teams get fat and climb to 35-40 games over .500.
The number of teams still with a ‘chance’ of making the postseason dwindles by the week and managers begin taking a look at their farm system, while GMs sell away veterans which further depletes their rosters.
The Yankees were 52-32 after July 1st last season. In 2005, they were 56-29 after July 1st. This is the more telling season because they were 39-38 on July 1st, which is essentially what they will be this season.
The Oakland A’s, for example, have made a killing on getting to the playoffs with great second half runs. Last season they were 45-43 before the break and 48-26 after it and were .081 better after the break in 2005.
But back to the Yankees, they only play Boston six more times, but have 10 games left versus the Royals, 13 against Tampa Bay and 15 against Baltimore.
The easy schedule, combined with a realistic view of their talent, makes anyone believe that the Yankees remain the Wild Card favorite, despite spotting the Indians six games.
Authored by Christopher Reina - 26th June, 2007 - 8:19 pm
http://www.realgmbaseball.com/images/mlb/4.2/wiretap/photos/Jeter_Derek_nyy_070604.jpg
is six games, the biggest difference in the entire MLB. Cleveland’s Pythagorean record is 43-32, while Oakland’s is 41-34, Minnesota’s is 39-35 Toronto’s is 39-36 and Seattle’s is 37-36.
Even more promising for the Yankees, yet simultaneously concerning, is the fact they are 4-12 in 1-run games.
With the Yankees' playoff streak in jeopardy, the questions must be asked if the Yankees are this much worse than they were over the past 12 seasons or merely victims of a first half filled with injuries and bad luck?
I look at their roster on paper and suggest that it is the latter.
As most people know, the second half is where teams get fat and climb to 35-40 games over .500.
The number of teams still with a ‘chance’ of making the postseason dwindles by the week and managers begin taking a look at their farm system, while GMs sell away veterans which further depletes their rosters.
The Yankees were 52-32 after July 1st last season. In 2005, they were 56-29 after July 1st. This is the more telling season because they were 39-38 on July 1st, which is essentially what they will be this season.
The Oakland A’s, for example, have made a killing on getting to the playoffs with great second half runs. Last season they were 45-43 before the break and 48-26 after it and were .081 better after the break in 2005.
But back to the Yankees, they only play Boston six more times, but have 10 games left versus the Royals, 13 against Tampa Bay and 15 against Baltimore.
The easy schedule, combined with a realistic view of their talent, makes anyone believe that the Yankees remain the Wild Card favorite, despite spotting the Indians six games.